19 January 2007 - The spectre of a nuclear war 60 years
ago was what created the "doomsday clock," the
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists'(BAS) cold war chronometer.
The closer the clock to midnight, the closer the world was
creeping toward disaster.
These days, the superpower polarisation of the world may
be gone, but the threat of nuclear conflict remains. And
added to that, a new doomsday force is moving the clock
hands: global warming.
Over the six decades of existence, the clock has swung
backwards and forwards between 17 minutes to midnight and
as close as 2 minutes.
With each new nuclear threat, it ticked closer to twelve.
With each new arms reduction treaty or weapons ban, it moved
back from the brink. Now both the resurgent threat of nuclear
weapons and climate change have moved the hands of the clock
two minutes closer: to only 5 minutes away from midnight,
the figurative end of the world as we know it.
With the end of the cold war, the clock was at an historic
17 minutes away from midnight in 1991. But since then is
has moved steadily closer to midnight with new nuclear threats
and now with the addition of climate change.
New nuclear threats are sending the clock back towards
the dark days of the nuclear standoff between the US and
USSR. These include the nuclear test which made North Korea
an official member of the nuclear weapons club and the incorporation
of nuclear weapons into strategic military planning for
a possible US strike against Iran.
"As scientists, we understand the dangers of nuclear
weapons and their devastating effects, and we are learning
how human activities and technologies are affecting climate
systems in ways that may forever change life on Earth.
As citizens of the world, we have a duty to alert the public
to the unnecessary risks that we live with every day, and
to the perils we foresee if governments and societies do
not take action now to render nuclear weapons obsolete and
to prevent further climate change."
Stephen Hawking, a BAS sponsor, professor of mathematics
at the University of Cambridge, and a fellow of The Royal
Society.
Added to the increase in nuclear tensions is the acknowledgment
that climate change now represents a new threat that must
be faced with the same determination as ending the possibility
of nuclear war.
"The Doomsday Clock can go backwards as well as forwards
and a massive uptake of renewable energy sources along with
energy efficiency and conservation would help us tackle
both the climate threat and the threat of spreading dangerous
nuclear technology around the world", said Steve Sawyer,
Greenpeace climate campaigner.
To reduce the threat of nuclear war requires all governments
of the world to listen to their citizens who overwhelmingly
reject the use of nuclear weapons. As the world warms and
severe weather becomes more frequent across many parts of
the world, the solutions to climate change are within the
reach of everyone.
Einstein said that with the splitting of the atom everything
changed except the way we think: the challenge now is to
change the way we act.