Washington
DC, 4 February 2009 - I would like to thank,
and congratulate, the diverse group of sponsors
and funders that made this conference possible.
Particularly, I would
like to thank key organizers, including:
- Dave Foster and the Blue Green Alliance
- Leo Gerard and the United Steelworkers
- The Sierra Club, including the hard work
of Margrete Strand Rangnes
I would also like to
thank Donald Kennedy, Chair of the Sierra
Club's Climate Recovery Partnership for
his introduction.
Ladies and gentlemen,
Let me first say how
delighted I am to be here in Washington
DC literally days after watching on TV -
like hundreds of millions around the world
- the inauguration of the 44th President
of the United States.
The UN Environment Programme,
of which I am the Executive Director, has
its global headquarters in Nairobi, Kenya.
I mention this for two
reasons.
Firstly, because we
are one of only two UN agencies headquartered
in the developing world.
It perhaps gives us
a different, if not even a unique, perspective
on world affairs.
We are confronted daily
by the evidence of inextricable links between
environmental degradation and poverty, unemployment
and other keenly felt economic, social and
ecological factors.
Secondly, because President
Obama’s father was, as I am sure you know,
Kenyan and his election has meant so much
to the people of East Africa not least to
many of the staff at UNEP.
The Multiple Challenges
Now and in the Near Future
Ladies and gentlemen,
The world, including
the United States, is going through one
of the most challenging moments in its history.
But some economies and
some world leaders are committed to turn
crisis into opportunity and to show leadership
during grim economic times.
President Obama has
signalled by word and also by recent deeds
to want to do just that and in doing so
to re-establish US leadership at home and
abroad across a suite of compelling, contemporary
issues.
It could not come a
moment too soon.
The year 2008 was marked
by the food crisis, the fuel crisis and
the financial crisis which has translated
itself into a full-scale global economic
crisis.
And, ladies and gentlemen,
there are more to come.
President Obama has
talked about a ‘planet in peril’.
Climate change is accelerating
and, unless checked, promises to be the
greatest market failure of all time.
It has serious and significant
implications for employment and economic
activity now and throughout this and the
next century.
With serious ramifications
too for poverty, health and the natural
or nature-based services that underpin lives
and livelihoods in the developed but especially
the developing economies.
Sir Nicholas Stern,
on behalf of the UK Government has estimated
that global GDP could be cut annually by
five per cent and perhaps as much as 20
per cent unless the world deals with rising
greenhouse gas emissions.
Other market failures
are emerging.
Natural resource scarcity
is reaching a tipping point, with limits
being met and passed on scores of fronts.
In mid-February, the
world’s environment ministers will meet
at UNEP headquarters for the UNEP Governing
Council/Global Ministerial Environment Forum.
Here we will present
some of the latest findings on the state
of the world’s ecosystems, such as forests
and soils to coral reefs and fisheries,
in our UNEP Year Book 2009.
A few facts:
Entire forest systems
have effectively disappeared in at least
25 countries and have declined by 90 percent
in another 29 countries.
Since the onset of industrial
fisheries in the 1960s, the total biomass
of large, commercially-targeted marine fish
species has declined by a ‘staggering’ 90
percent, says the Year Book.
On current projections,
the availability of cropland per person
is set to drop to 0.1 hectares requiring
a rise in agricultural production “unattainable
through conventional means”.
Soil degradation, linked
with intensification, has now and already
affected all but 16 percent of the world’s
croplands.
Overall, the 2005 Millennium
Ecosystem Assessment concluded that 60 percent
of the Earth’s ecosystems are damaged or
being degraded. The Year Book confirms that
many of the trends continue unabated.
In the past, environmental
crises were essentially local - pollution
of the local lake; fly-tipping in city park,
perhaps the felling of a much-loved forest.
Today, as a result of
the consumption and production patterns
of the industrialized economies and newly
emerging ones, the level of degradation
is having global consequences.
In years gone by, communities
and societies could move on - could avoid
calamities by emigrating to find safer,
more prosperous places where opportunities
were manifold.
That is not possible
in a world of six - rising to nine - billion
people where resources are finite. We have
to produce and consume in far more efficient
and less extractive ways where we re-invest
in the productivity of the work force; innovation
and the natural assets that are the foundation
of prosperity.
Ladies and gentlemen,
The good news is we
still have choices - the point at the fulcrum
of today’s meeting.
The Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), established
by UNEP and the World Meteorological Organisation,
estimates that somewhere around 0.1 percent
of GDP spent annually until 2030 can lift
the threat of climate change.
A peer-reviewed study
by the consultants McKinsey, published last
week, estimates that greenhouse gas emissions
could be cut by 40 percent by 2030 over
11000 levels through a suite of readily
available technological options.
That represents a 70
percent cut below a ‘business as usual’
scenario; it represents, too, a lot of green
jobs here and abroad.
Global Green New Deal
- Green Economy initiative
Ladies and gentlemen,
One thing that is not
in short supply is human ingenuity nationally
and internationally.
In October last year
UNEP launched its Global Green New Deal
- a response to the immediate crises - and
Green Economy initiative, a more medium-
to long-term strategy.
Both echo and support
the agenda and direction of the new US administration
- in that they both see the challenges but
also opportunities through a national but
also global lens.
Part of the UNEP initiative
includes work on green jobs, conducted with
the International Labour Organisation, trade
unions and employer organizations.
In terms of developed
economies, this report drew heavily on the
experiences and initiatives of many of you
in the audience today.
Proof, if proof were
ever needed, that the United States is and
can increasingly be the font of inspirational
and transformational policies so urgently
needed in the 21st century.
I will not recite back
to you the long list of statistics on how
many jobs could be generated in the United
States from “weatherizing” homes to investing
in high-speed rail links, wind and solar
power - only perhaps to suggest that the
potential for green jobs may be even higher
than is commonly supposed.
The United States leads
with 3,000MW of installed geothermal energy
followed by the Philippines with close to
2,000MW and Indonesia with 1,000MW.
A new assessment coordinated
by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology
indicates that the United States could provide
a significant slice of its base-load electricity
from geothermal.
It says that the US
has enough geothermal potential to generate
100,000 MW (100 GW) of base-load electricity
by 2050 by investing in enhanced geothermal
systems.
Current total energy
generation in the US is somewhere under
1,000GW of which between 0.23 percent and
0.4 percent is estimated to be geothermal,
according to various sources.
The report says that
there is a widely-held view that high, exploitable
levels of geothermal resources do not exist
in the US.
But the report says:
“Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) represent
a large, indigenous resource that can provide
base-load electric power and heat at a level
that can have a major impact on the United
States while incurring minimal environmental
impacts”..
Combined public and
private investment of $800 million to a
$1 billion is needed over 15-year period
needed to get it up and running commercially
and to realize 100GW by 2050. Somewhere
over $200 million of this is needed to achieve
a break-even point with coal.
This is equal to total
Research and Development in the past 30
years globally on EGS and still less than
the cost of a single new-generation “clean
coal” power plant.
And what about the employment
and revenue-raising potential here and abroad
if the US exported its cutting-edge geothermal
know-how?
Various studies estimate
that, for example, geothermal could grow
by 900 percent in Papua New Guinea and by
90 percent in Turkey.
In Africa UNEP is working
to develop geothermal in the Great Rift
Valley from Kenya up to Djibouti; Germany
and Iceland are involved, why not the United
States?
The Green Economy is
an Idea Whose Time Has Come.
The United States is
not alone in glimpsing an economic renaissance
through a green lens.
There are shining examples
of Green Economy solutions - even though
perhaps they were not termed that at the
time - developed and implemented in Europe,
Japan and elsewhere in the OECD.
Feed-in tariffs in Germany
and Spain that have spawned an extraordinary
renewable revolution there.
The incredible energy
efficiency of Japan, triggered in part by
that country’s historic lack of natural
resources and thus its need to make every
drop go further and farther.
Well over 90 per cent
of Iceland’s electricity is either hydro
or geothermal - a deliberate policy decision
taken after the oil crisis of the late 1970s/early
1980s.
Developing economies
are also involved. Costa Rica and Mexico
with their long-standing pioneering payments
for ecosystem services - essentially paying
poor rural people to manage forests and
watersheds in the sure and certain knowledge
that this is a big bang for your buck.
Grameen Shakti is a
company launched by Nobel Peace Prize laureate
Professor Muhammad Yunus’ Grameen Bank -
a pioneering microfinance organization in
Bangladesh.
It has been leading
a quiet renewable revolution in the country
selling and financing solar photovoltaic
panels and greening the energy supply of
over 8,000 homes in Bangladesh every month.
Women who buy these
panels become village electricity distributors,
selling their solar electricity to neighbouring
homes at no more than the monthly cost of
kerosene, their normal fuel.
The plan is to convert
a million homes from health-damaging kerosene
stoves to solar electricity by next year.
Too often we are told
certain things are not possible - too often
the vested interest or vested ignorance
has won out.
Brazil was told several
decades ago that developing an ethanol economy
was economic folly - we know different now.
Only recently UNEP was
told that getting solar power to rural people
in India was impossible as it was unaffordable
and too risky for banks.
In cooperation with
the UN Foundation and two foresighted Indian
banks, we brought down the cost of solar
loans. The short term subsidy put solar
into 100,000 people’s homes almost overnight.
The project is now self-financing
and hundreds of banks are now involved.
So “Yes You Can, Yes
We Can, Yes We All Can!” - if we can share
ideas and fast-forward innovative ideas.
Globalization means
that the ups - and currently the real downs
- of the global economy reach everywhere.
But so, too, do ideas and imaginative initiatives.
The challenge today
is to embed Green Economic policy in national
economies everywhere - to make the many
shining examples already pursued here and
there part of the mainstream of economic
thinking, part of the “here and now”.
I believe the rest of
the world can learn from your experience
and you from theirs, and that the UN’s convening
role can be the platform.
UNEP’s Global Green
New Deal report, bringing some of these
global ideas and policy-actionable initiatives
and compiled by a team of leading economists,
will be published on 16 February at our
environment ministers gathering.
It will draw on these
and countless other examples. It will draw
too on President Obama’s stimulus package
with its many environmentally-focused recovery
strategies.
Draw too on China’s
over $140 billion stimulus and its pro-employment
focused investments in rail rather than
road, renewables and investments in river
systems.
Also on the Republic of Korea where jobs
are being lost for the first time in over
five years.
President Lee Myung-bak
of the Republic of Korea’s plan is to invest
$38 billion employing people to clean up
four major rivers and reduce disaster risks
by building embankments and water-treatment
facilities.
Other elements of his
“Green New Deal” include construction of
eco-friendly transportation networks such
as high-speed railways and hundreds of kilometres
of bicycle tracks alongside generating energy
by capturing methane from refuse tips.
With an eye on both
the short and the long term, the package
will also invest in developing hybrid vehicle
technologies for the car industry.
Japan’s stimulus package
also includes plans to lead a “low-carbon
revolution” and generate one to two million
jobs through tax breaks in areas such as
electric cars, low-energy appliances and
renewables.
In the UK, $100 billion
is to be spent on renewable energy in order
to generate 15 percent of the country’s
electricity by 2020 and to create “hundreds
of thousands of new ‘green-collar’ jobs”.
Last week the UK government
also announced multi-billion dollar support
for the UK car industry with that support
linked to developing high technology and
green vehicles.
Ladies and gentlemen,
If we are to deal with
the immediate crises and the ones just around
the corner, then every dollar, Euro, peso
and yuan is going to have to work smarter
and harder.
The investments being
made now in order to counter the various
“crunches” need to set the stage for a resource
efficient, innovation-led, economic renaissance.
One that tackles the
fundamentals, rather than papers over the
cracks: one that sets the stage for Green
Economic growth.
Investments that generate
not only employment, but decent jobs for
the 1.3 billion people unemployed or under-employed
and for the half a billion young people
that will join the global work force over
the next ten years.
Not just in the United
States and the rest of the industrialized
world but in the rapidly developing and
“hardly” developing economies of the global
South.
Making Markets Work
- Unleashing Investment
Ladies and gentlemen,
There are still many
voices being raised saying we cannot afford
it - that it is interfering in the market
as if the market was some perfect construct
- independent of human affairs.
That elected governments
have little or no role left; that regulation
and standard-setting is outdated, stifling
for business, just more “red tape”.
We know, very much as
a result of the past 12 months, that markets
are not divine creations - they are made
by men and women and as such they can be
redesigned by human beings and governments
to achieve multiple aims.
Designed to invest in
long-term, sustainable profits, wealth creation
and decent kinds of employment - where some
balance is re-established between financial,
human and environmental capital.
Where refocusing and
redirecting markets, not stifling them,
can bring some intelligent management of
natural and nature-based resources and of
energy use - where we draw a line between
the extractive and short-term models that
have characterized so much of late twentieth
century economic focus and the crucial factor
X of sustainability.
Does the United States
Need the Rest of the World - Should it Back
a Global Green Economy?
Ladies and gentlemen,
There may be those who
wonder why it is in the interests of the
United States to support Green Growth globally.
I believe the lessons
of 2008 make the “why” abundantly clear.
Globalization has economies
interconnected in ways that are perhaps
impossible to disentangle - the global village
is a reality.
It used to be said that
if America catches a cold, we all get one.
There are now countless
countries, and growing, from where colds
can come but also where cures can be found.
The United States has
been at the forefront of innovative ideas
and innovation - today it must also champion
the international cause of the Green Economy
and of a transition to a low-carbon society.
To transform the United
States into a resource efficient, clean-tech,
decent employment-led economy is crucial
for its own sake, yes.
But the United States
also has a key leadership role globally
and self-interest in working multilaterally.
Put simply, unless there
is a global Green Economy who will be out
there to trade with and to buy - let alone
deploy - this new generation of high-tech,
highly efficient goods and services produced
by the United States?
Secondly, and as mentioned
before, climate change knows no boundaries
and respects no race, creed, ideology or
philosophy.
A strong economy can,
for a while perhaps, shore up its infrastructure,
coastlines, agriculture and water supplies
to increasingly extreme weather events.
But not forever, and
not if greenhouse gases take global temperatures
beyond two, three, four degrees Centigrade.
Per capita emissions
in the United States are currently five
times the global average and 200 times that
of someone living in one of the poorest
parts of the world.
Indeed, the UN estimates
that the average air conditioning unit in
Florida is responsible for more CO2 in a
year than a Cambodian is in a lifetime.
It’s better - but not
so much better - in Europe. An average dishwasher
there produces as much CO2 in a year as
three people do in Ethiopia.
Thus the historical
legacy is the United States’, as it is Europe’s,
Japan’s and the rest of the industrialized
world.
However, even under
a relatively modest emissions growth scenario,
non-
OECD countries will
account for about 70 percent of the warming
problem in 2100, and an even larger part
of the growth in emissions in the next 100
years by some estimates.
Over the 21st century,
with no internationally agreed constraint,
the developing countries will emit four
to five times the amount of carbon dioxide
emitted by the developed economies over
the last century and a half.
Thus the legendary innovation,
science and high-tech know-how of the US
should and must be brought to the global
stage - it is in the interests of the United
States and the rest of the world’s 190-plus
sovereign states to see technology transfer
and the adoption of low-carbon products.
All countries have a
stake, and a role, in the solution.
An engaged United States
for example will stimulate low-carbon markets
at home and export markets abroad and build
international confidence that the world’s
most powerful economy can also be a low-carbon
one.
If the United States
can do it so can Brazil, China, India and
the other rapidly emerging economies: it
is the trigger for global agreement and
confidence-building.
A United States in the
UN carbon markets will also add traction
to the global carbon investments under the
UN Framework Convention on Climate Change
and its Kyoto Protocol from emission trading
to the offset instrument - the Clean Development
Mechanism.
The move to include
tropical forests in these emission offsetting
measures may be the key to conserving these
vast, natural utilities that currently moderate
much of the climate, water supplies and
nutrients on a global scale - currently
they do it for free, soaking up the emissions
of the rich countries to the tune of billions
of dollars a year.
The litmus test of international
commitment, including that of the United
States, on climate change comes in just
over 300 days from now.
Governments must agree
deep, meaningful, inclusive and transformational
new deal at the crucial UN climate meeting
in Copenhagen at the end of the year.
Achieving this must
be one of the central goals for the Green
Economy over the coming months - it could
perhaps be the biggest and most far-reaching
stimulus package of all.
The Era of Responsibility
- Nationally and Multilaterally
Ladies and gentlemen,
President Obama has
called this the era of responsibility. I
share his sentiments.
UNEP’s role is to encourage
and to establish the norms and standards
that assist in promoting responsible economic
activity and sustainable trade.
It is done in part through
convening the best and brightest brains
and the world’s governments and by underlining
the big factors that bind us rather than
narrow differences that set us apart often
needlessly and at great cost.
Our role is also to
bring forward the latest global science
on climate change to the state of the world’s
oceans alongside the policy options that
can catalyze fair and equitable change within
a family of nations at different stages
in their development paths.
The era of responsibility
is generational but also inter-generational
- in bailing out the banks and rescuing
jobs we cannot transfer the costs and the
debts to our children - we cannot compromise
their right to decent work and livelihoods;
to a healthy and functioning planet.
Thus the decisions taken
in Washington DC, in April at the G20 summit
in London, and in Copenhagen and beyond
will not only ripple across countries and
continents but will reverberate and echo
down the generations.
Ladies and gentlemen,
I believe that the UN
and its environment programme need the United
States as never before and that in a globalized
world the US in turn needs the UN and the
multilateral system.
The US is one of our
founding fathers and like all families we
have had our ups and downs.
But let us not forget
that the President who signed the UN Charter
in San Francisco 64 years ago, and who saw
the value in multilateralism as a force
for good in the world was none other than
Franklin D. Roosevelt - the architect of
the New Deal that powered America out of
recession and inspired the Green New Deal
being taken forward in the White House and
elsewhere today.
The UN and the United
States share a common history - today we
celebrate a common vision on Green Jobs
in a Green Economy.
Perhaps I can leave
you with the words of Issac Wright Jr.,
an ex-convict and participant of Growing
Home Inc., which offers “social business
enterprise” job training for low-income
people here in the United States.
It is perhaps a very
personal view of the “era of responsibility”
but one that I think sums up the direction
that so many people from Calcutta to Cairo
and Canberra to Chicago want from their
leaders - a New Deal that is Green and one
that has global dimensions.
Asked about a Green
Job, he told the Chicago Tribune: “I can't
see past today.”
“But if I'm allowed
to wake up tomorrow, I'm going to do everything
I can to help out. If it means saving the
Earth, why not? Because you only get one
Earth, right? Like you only get one mama.”
+ More
Davos Climate Focus:
Ban Urges Leaders to Think Green & Steiner
Promotes Design for Good
Secretary-General Ban
Ki-moon, Thursday, called on the world's
political and business leaders participating
in the World Economic Forum in Davos to
use the current economic crisis to commit
to a "Green New Deal" that creates
jobs and fights climate change by investing
in renewable energy and technological development.
The Secretary General
told the World Economic Forum in Davos,
"Climate change threatens all our goals
for development and social progress. Indeed,
it is the one true existential threat to
the planet." He added, "We must
break the tyranny of short-term thinking
in favour of long-term solutions. This will
demand a renewed commitment to core principles."
The Secretary General
also noted that United States President
Barack Obama has made a clear commitment
to re-energizing the American economy by
boosting the "green economy,"
emphasizing that, "The green economy
is low-carbon and energy-efficient. It creates
jobs. Investment in sustainable technologies
will turn today's crisis into tomorrow's
sustainable growth."
Also participating at
the Davos Forum, Achim Steiner, UNEP Executive
Director, took part, Friday, in a session
entitled the "Copenhagen Challenge",
where panelists - including former US Vise-president,
Al Gore and Danish Prime Minister Anders
Fogh Rasmussen - emphasized the importance
of rising to the Copenhagen challenge and
delivering an agreement that has the full
support of policy-makers and industry leaders
from both industrialized and developing
economies.
Prime Minister Rasmussen,
who is host of the UN Climate Change Conference,
said it is essential for heads of states
to engage in the process and for countries
to commit to reducing their current levels
of CO2 emissions. "The essential thing
is to agree on clear targets ... a prerequisite
for creating a private market," said
Rasmussen, who went on to emphasize that,
"Green efficiency is sound economics."
Steiner was also
a panelist at a session entitled "Design
for Good", which explored new roles
for design in the context of the problems
and inadequacies that face today's world.
It is worth noting that UNEP has pioneered
a project known as "Design for Sustainability",
which promotes eco-design and innovation
that aim to achieve cleaner production and
eco-efficient industrial systems.